tropical-storm
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Named Tropical Depression 3, at 5:00 p.m. EST. 7/22/2019.

Latest from the National Hurricane Center:

500 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 78.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Northwest Bahamas and the east coast of Florida
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 78.6 West.  The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
A turn toward the north-northwest is expected overnight followed by
a turn toward the north and north-northeast on Tuesday and Tuesday
night.  On the forecast track, the center of the depression should
remain just offshore of the east coast of Florida over the next day
or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant increase in strength is anticipated, and the
depression is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Bahamas and the east coast of Florida through Tuesday.
Deep convection has increased in association with the small low
pressure area we have been monitoring near the Bahamas.  Animation
of visible satellite images and scatterometer data indicate that a
closed low-level circulation formed today, and therefore advisories
are being initiated on the system.  Conventional surface
observations along with the scatterometer measurements indicate that
the maximum sustained winds in the cyclone are near 25 kt. The
system is in a marginally favorable environment for strengthening,
as a special 1800 UTC sounding taken by the National Weather Service
Forecast Office here in Miami showed a layer of dry air near the 700
mb level.  The global models do not intensify the system, and only a
slight increase in strength appears likely.  In 36 to 48 hours, the
models indicate that this system will be absorbed by a frontal
trough near the U.S. east coast.

The initial motion estimate is northwestward or 305/11 kt.  Over the
next day or so, the tropical cyclone should move around the western
periphery of a mid-level subtropical ridge, with the center of the
depression expected to remain offshore of the Florida east coast and
the southeastern United States until dissipation.  The official
track forecast follows a small consensus of the only models that
were able to follow the center of the depression in the predicted
fields.

Yall.com will update Wednesday morning if it further develops

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