Photo by Yousef Espanioly on Unsplash

Note this forecast is as of 1/6/20 .. We will monitor situation throughout week and update as needed.

It’s January, and to kick off the 2020 weather season, apparently Mother Nature has decided to start it with a bang.

According to the NOAA prediction center Thursday evening through Saturday. Sunday is too far out for speculation. It will bring more flooding rains, severe weather and isolated tornadoes Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Mississippi, Georgia.

The Statement from NOAA is as follows:

A multi-day severe weather episode is expected across portions of
   the Arklatex into the Deep South vicinity on D5/Fri and D6/Sat. The
   ingredients for severe thunderstorms will begin to fall into place
   Day 4/Thu as an upper ridge spreads eastward across the eastern U.S.
   and a large-scale trough intensifies across the western states. At
   the surface, a strong surface pressure gradient will develop from
   the Midwest to the western Gulf Coast, allowing rich Gulf moisture
   to begin streaming northward across east TX and the lower MS Valley
   vicinity on Thursday.  

   The warm sector will expand through the day on Friday from eastern
   OK/TX eastward across much of the TN Valley and Gulf Coast states.
   Surface dewpoints are expected to be impressive for this time of
   year, climbing into the mid 60s to low 70s as a deepening surface
   low shifts eastward across OK/TX on Friday. This will occur as the
   western trough ejects eastward into the southern Plains and an
   intense southerly low level jet overspreads the region. Forecast
   guidance also shows a weak EML emanating from the Mexican Plateau
   spreading over parts of the region, providing a weak cap that should
   limit warm sector convection initially. Confidence has increased
   that a strong vertical shear parameter-space will overlay a
   high-quality warm sector ahead of the ejecting trough and a
   southeastward-advancing cold front Friday afternoon through Friday
   night. As such, a 30% severe delineation has been included for parts
   of the Arklatex within the broader 15% severe probability area.

   On Day 6/Sat, severe thunderstorm potential is expected to continue
   into portions of the TN Valley and the northern Gulf Coast vicinity.
   Similar to Friday, intense shear parameters and adequate instability
   will exist across the region as the upper trough becomes more
   compact and lifts northeast across the mid/lower MS Valley to the OH
   Valley. 15% severe probabilities will be maintained at this time as
   questions remain with respect to how pristine the warm sector will
   remain over MS/AL and vicinity, as well as timing/location of key
   surface features. That being said, the overall pattern will support
   severe thunderstorms into Saturday evening across much of the Deep
   South vicinity. 

   Confidence in severe potential beyond Day 6/Sat is low, though
   guidance suggests stormy conditions could return to parts of the
   Southeast on Monday/Monday night.